It is important to bear in mind that Iran and Hizbullah are not
principled as they claim to be, or as principled as Western media assume
them to be. The ideological orientation of both entities are often
exaggerated. Both are typical political actors who are prone to
compromise, double-dealing, and deals-under-the-table. Hizbollah's
relations with Walid Jumblat is a good example: they express enmity and
then they visit and kiss on the cheek. Hizbullah has become in many way
a typical Lebanese opportunist political party. Look at this picture:
Elias Murr is one of the worst and most corrupt political actors in
Lebanon. He has no popular support but Syrian regime intelligence
service was bribed by his father, Michel, who was made Minister in
successive Lebanese government. Michel urged the Syrian mukhabarat to
make Elias minister, and he served in the Emil Lahhud administration
before switching side (opportunistically) to the March 14 movement.
What he lacked in charisma and intelligence he compensated with loyalty
to foreign actors. Wikileaks was most embarrassing to this man: he was
cited giving sectarian and political advice to the Israeli enemy while
serving as Minister of Defense. What did Hizbullah do? He forgave him
and the head of Hizbullah political bloc visited him recently
accompanied by the Iranian ambassador. I predicted this week: that it
is not unfathomable that Hizbullah MPs will yet again attend the
reception at the Saudi embassy in Beirut and will even participate, yet
again, in cutting the celebratory cake. And on the relationship with
Saudi Arabia, Hizbullah has little independence in that regard: he will
follow the tune of the Iranian regime which has always been way too
eager to appease the Saudi royal family. This will happen again. Don't
bet on an eternal conflict. It has been scientifically proven:
Islamists (of the Sunni and Shi`ite variety) are not less pragmatic and
opportunist and shifty than...Walid Jumblat himself.